Current Most Read

The End of the Safety Net: Why Slashing Farm Subsidies Could Threaten the UK’s Food Future

The Rising Crime Rate in the UK: A Crisis in the Criminal Justice System

How to prepare for concert ticket presales and sales on Ticketmaster

The Perils of Political Assassinations: Lessons from History

Paul Francis
Jul 22, 2024
4 min read

At 6:11 pm on the 13th of July, former President Donald Trump narrowly escaped an assassination attempt at a rally in Bethel Park, Pennsylvania. The assailant, Thomas Matthew Crooks, failed to hit Trump but tragically killed Corey Comperatore, a 50-year-old volunteer fire chief who was attending the rally. The potential ramifications of Trump's assassination are twofold, in my personal opinion: 1) It would have made him a martyr, further pushing his cause, or 2) It would have turned him into a survivor, bestowing him with even more political clout. The latter scenario might have even fuelled the far-right narrative of 'he's chosen by God.' Only time will tell as America heads to the polls.

Man in a mask pretending to be Donald Trump outside Trump tower.

Historical Precedents: Assassinations That Shaped the World

Assassination attempts, as history has shown us, rarely lead to positive outcomes. Take World War I as a glaring example—an assassination that ignited a global conflict. Over 16 million people were killed worldwide, and the war’s aftermath directly contributed to the conditions that led to World War II. Let's delve into some of the most significant political assassinations in history, examining the individuals, their lives, and the chaotic aftermaths of their deaths.

Julius Caesar: The Fall of the Roman Republic

Born in 100 BCE, Julius Caesar was a towering figure in Roman history. Known for his military prowess, he expanded the Roman Republic through a series of conquests. Caesar was charismatic, pragmatic, and ambitious, traits that made him both beloved by the masses and feared by the Senate. However, his ambition and accumulation of power also made him controversial, with some perceiving him as a potential dictator.

The Assassination

On the Ides of March, 44 BCE, Caesar was assassinated by a group of about 60 senators led by Gaius Cassius Longinus, Decimus Junius Brutus, and Marcus Junius Brutus. They believed his growing power threatened the Republic’s traditions, fearing he would become a monarch.

The Aftermath

The immediate result was chaos. Mark Antony's speech swayed public opinion against the conspirators, leading to a series of civil wars. Ultimately, this power struggle resulted in the rise of Caesar's heir, Octavian (later Augustus), and the transformation of the Roman Republic into the Roman Empire.

Abraham Lincoln: The Cost of Unity

Born in 1809, Abraham Lincoln rose from humble beginnings to become the 16th President of the United States. Known for his integrity and empathy, he led the country through the Civil War and worked tirelessly to abolish slavery. Despite his many virtues, Lincoln was also a polarising figure, particularly in the Southern states, where he was seen as a threat to their way of life.

The Assassination

On April 14, 1865, Lincoln was shot by John Wilkes Booth, a famous actor and Confederate sympathizer, at Ford’s Theatre in Washington, D.C. Booth believed killing Lincoln would revive the Confederate cause.

The Aftermath

Lincoln's death plunged the nation into deep mourning and left Vice President Andrew Johnson to navigate the tumultuous Reconstruction era. Johnson’s lenient policies towards the South and clashes with Radical Republicans hindered efforts to secure civil rights for former slaves, exacerbating regional tensions for decades.

Archduke Franz Ferdinand: The Spark of a Global Conflict

Franz Ferdinand, born in 1863, was the heir presumptive to the Austro-Hungarian throne. Known for his conservative views and advocacy for military modernization, he was both a symbol of potential reform and an object of suspicion within the empire. His marriage to Sophie, Duchess of Hohenberg, was also controversial due to her lower rank.

The Assassination

On June 28, 1914, in Sarajevo, Bosnia, Gavrilo Princip, a member of the nationalist group Black Hand, assassinated Franz Ferdinand. The group aimed to end Austro-Hungarian rule over Bosnia and promote Slavic nationalism.

The Aftermath

The assassination set off a chain reaction, leading to World War I. Over 16 million people were killed worldwide, and the conflict caused massive destruction and reshaped the geopolitical landscape. The Treaty of Versailles and the harsh penalties imposed on Germany and other Central Powers created economic and political instability, directly contributing to the rise of fascism and the outbreak of World War II.

Mahatma Gandhi: The Price of Peace

Mahatma Gandhi, born in 1869, was a pivotal figure in the Indian independence movement. Known for his philosophy of non-violence and simplicity, Gandhi inspired millions with his principles of truth and civil disobedience. However, his personal life was complex; his strict adherence to celibacy and asceticism often caused friction with his family.

The Assassination

On January 30, 1948, in New Delhi, Gandhi was shot by Nathuram Godse, a Hindu nationalist who opposed Gandhi’s acceptance of partition and perceived appeasement of Muslims.

The Aftermath

Gandhi’s death led to national mourning and communal riots. Prime Minister Nehru’s government intensified efforts to stabilize the country and promote secularism. However, Gandhi’s assassination underscored the deep religious divides in India.

John F. Kennedy: The Shattered Dream

John F. Kennedy, born in 1917, became a symbol of a new generation of American leadership. Charismatic and youthful, Kennedy inspired many with his vision for civil rights and his handling of international crises. However, his personal life was marred by numerous affairs and health issues, which contrasted sharply with his public image.

The Assassination

On November 22, 1963, in Dallas, Texas, Kennedy was assassinated by Lee Harvey Oswald, a former Marine. Oswald's motives remain unclear, but his actions left an indelible mark on American history.

The Aftermath

Kennedy’s death shocked the nation and the world. Vice President Lyndon B. Johnson was sworn in and used the national sentiment to push forward significant civil rights legislation. However, the assassination also bred numerous conspiracy theories, fostering a lasting sense of distrust in the government.

The Futility of Political Killings

Throughout history, political assassinations have seldom achieved their intended outcomes. Instead, they often lead to greater instability, conflict, and long-term consequences that far outweigh any perceived benefits. As we reflect on these historical precedents, it becomes clear that political violence is never the answer. Constructive dialogue and democratic processes are crucial for fostering lasting change and stability.

So, as we observe the unfolding events in America from our vantage point across the pond, let us hope for a future where political disputes are settled through ballots, not bullets, and where leaders are remembered not for their violent ends but for their contributions to humanity.

The End of the Safety Net: Why Slashing Farm Subsidies Could Threaten the UK’s Food Future

All Articles

16 April 2025

Paul Francis

Want your article or story on our site? Contact us here

Not only do UK farmers now face the looming threat of inheritance tax reforms that could force centuries-old family farms to be sold off - but they’re also contending with a policy shift that dismantles the very foundation of their economic stability: the withdrawal of direct farm subsidies.

A black-and-white cow grazes on a lush, green field with a dense forest in the background. The scene is peaceful and natural.

In a time of global instability - wars in Europe and the Middle East, disrupted trade routes, volatile commodity markets - the UK government is removing financial safeguards that have underpinned British agriculture for decades. And it’s doing so faster than many in the industry can adapt.

The Basic Payment Scheme (BPS), a direct subsidy paid to farmers under the EU’s Common Agricultural Policy (CAP), is in its final years. By 2027, it will be completely gone. In its place: a complex, tiered system of environmental schemes under the umbrella of the Environmental Land Management Schemes (ELMS). Worthy in theory, but in practice? A mess of bureaucracy, delays, and shortfalls.

And the timing couldn’t be worse.

A Lifeline Cut-Off Before the Bridge Was Built

The BPS wasn’t perfect, but it provided one essential function - it kept farms afloat. Payments were calculated based on the amount of land farmed, offering predictability and a cashflow buffer that allowed British farms to invest in new equipment, manage seasonal fluctuations, and ride out the weather, both literal and economic.

Now, payments have been rapidly reduced. By 2024, many farmers had already lost 35%–50% of their BPS income. In 2025, a new cap of £7,200 per farm will apply. That’s a fraction of the £20,000 to £50,000 mid-size farms previously received.

The replacement - ELMS - promises payments for "public goods": improving soil health, reducing carbon emissions, boosting biodiversity. Laudable aims. But ask most farmers, and they’ll tell you: they don’t object to sustainability. What they object to is the speed and scale of the transition, and the fact that the new payments often don’t come close to replacing what’s being lost.

Environmental Schemes: Aspirations Without Infrastructure

At the core of ELMS are three tiers:

Sustainable Farming Incentive (SFI): Encourages low-level changes such as herbal leys, no-till farming, and reducing fertiliser use.
Local Nature Recovery: Pays for habitat restoration and targeted environmental actions.
Landscape Recovery: Funds large-scale, long-term ecosystem restoration, often in collaboration with multiple landowners.

But uptake has been patchy at best. As of late 2024, fewer than half of eligible farms had enrolled in any ELMS scheme. Why?

The schemes are confusing. Farmers must navigate different options, overlapping rules, and constant revisions.
The application process is time-consuming and opaque.
Payments under SFI are often insufficient, especially for mixed or livestock farms in upland areas where land-use change is more difficult.
Crucially, many tenanted farmers - nearly a third of all farms in England - face legal and logistical barriers to taking part.

DEFRA has promised streamlining. But meanwhile, farmers are left in limbo - without clear income streams, but still expected to feed the nation.

The Cost of Poor Policy Timing

Agricultural experts, rural economists, and even major retailers have raised alarm bells. In a scathing 2023 report, the National Audit Office warned that DEFRA had failed to communicate the changes effectively, leaving many in the dark about what the new schemes offer.

The NFU (National Farmers’ Union) has repeatedly called on the government to pause BPS cuts until ELMS is fully functioning, but those calls have largely been ignored. In late 2024, a coalition of MPs from all parties demanded a review, warning that this abrupt withdrawal of support could lead to an exodus from the industry.

And that’s not just a theoretical risk. A nationwide NFU survey found that 11% of farmers were considering leaving farming altogether due to the combined impact of reduced subsidies, labour shortages, and rising costs.

Food Security in an Uncertain World

This isn’t just a farming problem - it’s a national one.

The UK is already heavily reliant on imports for key food items. And with international trade routes threatened by conflict in Ukraine, instability in the Middle East, and shipping disruptions in the Red Sea, supply chains are becoming more fragile by the month.

Should we really be cutting back our domestic food production capacity now?

Government ambitions to rewild 10% of farmland, promote biodiversity, and shift toward carbon sequestration may look good on a whiteboard in Whitehall. But on the ground, it’s leading to reduced livestock numbers, lower domestic output, and a growing dependence on foreign markets that may not be as reliable as once assumed.

A Dangerous Gamble

To many farmers, this feels like an ideological experiment being conducted in real-time -with their livelihoods and our food supply on the line. And as supermarket CEOs and farming groups increasingly speak out, it’s clear this isn’t just grumbling from the shires. It’s a cry of alarm from the foundation of the UK’s food system.

Environmental ambition is important. Climate change is real. But so is hunger.

We can pursue sustainability - but not by pulling the rug out from under those who feed us. The government’s subsidy reform may have noble aims, but its execution is flawed, its timeline reckless, and its consequences potentially devastating.

If we want a resilient, secure food future, we must support the people who make it possible - not push them to the brink.