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The Perils of Political Assassinations: Lessons from History

The Perils of Political Assassinations: Lessons from History

22 July 2024

Paul Francis

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At 6:11 pm on the 13th of July, former President Donald Trump narrowly escaped an assassination attempt at a rally in Bethel Park, Pennsylvania. The assailant, Thomas Matthew Crooks, failed to hit Trump but tragically killed Corey Comperatore, a 50-year-old volunteer fire chief who was attending the rally. The potential ramifications of Trump's assassination are twofold, in my personal opinion: 1) It would have made him a martyr, further pushing his cause, or 2) It would have turned him into a survivor, bestowing him with even more political clout. The latter scenario might have even fuelled the far-right narrative of 'he's chosen by God.' Only time will tell as America heads to the polls.


Man in a mask pretending to be Donald Trump outside Trump tower.

Historical Precedents: Assassinations That Shaped the World

Assassination attempts, as history has shown us, rarely lead to positive outcomes. Take World War I as a glaring example—an assassination that ignited a global conflict. Over 16 million people were killed worldwide, and the war’s aftermath directly contributed to the conditions that led to World War II. Let's delve into some of the most significant political assassinations in history, examining the individuals, their lives, and the chaotic aftermaths of their deaths.


Julius Caesar: The Fall of the Roman Republic

Statue of Julius Caesar

Born in 100 BCE, Julius Caesar was a towering figure in Roman history. Known for his military prowess, he expanded the Roman Republic through a series of conquests. Caesar was charismatic, pragmatic, and ambitious, traits that made him both beloved by the masses and feared by the Senate. However, his ambition and accumulation of power also made him controversial, with some perceiving him as a potential dictator.


The Assassination

On the Ides of March, 44 BCE, Caesar was assassinated by a group of about 60 senators led by Gaius Cassius Longinus, Decimus Junius Brutus, and Marcus Junius Brutus. They believed his growing power threatened the Republic’s traditions, fearing he would become a monarch.


The Aftermath

The immediate result was chaos. Mark Antony's speech swayed public opinion against the conspirators, leading to a series of civil wars. Ultimately, this power struggle resulted in the rise of Caesar's heir, Octavian (later Augustus), and the transformation of the Roman Republic into the Roman Empire.


Abraham Lincoln: The Cost of Unity

Congress image of Abraham Lincoln

Born in 1809, Abraham Lincoln rose from humble beginnings to become the 16th President of the United States. Known for his integrity and empathy, he led the country through the Civil War and worked tirelessly to abolish slavery. Despite his many virtues, Lincoln was also a polarising figure, particularly in the Southern states, where he was seen as a threat to their way of life.


The Assassination

On April 14, 1865, Lincoln was shot by John Wilkes Booth, a famous actor and Confederate sympathizer, at Ford’s Theatre in Washington, D.C. Booth believed killing Lincoln would revive the Confederate cause.


The Aftermath

Lincoln's death plunged the nation into deep mourning and left Vice President Andrew Johnson to navigate the tumultuous Reconstruction era. Johnson’s lenient policies towards the South and clashes with Radical Republicans hindered efforts to secure civil rights for former slaves, exacerbating regional tensions for decades.


Archduke Franz Ferdinand: The Spark of a Global Conflict

Archduke Franz Ferdinand
Image Source: United States Library of Congress

Franz Ferdinand, born in 1863, was the heir presumptive to the Austro-Hungarian throne. Known for his conservative views and advocacy for military modernization, he was both a symbol of potential reform and an object of suspicion within the empire. His marriage to Sophie, Duchess of Hohenberg, was also controversial due to her lower rank.


The Assassination

On June 28, 1914, in Sarajevo, Bosnia, Gavrilo Princip, a member of the nationalist group Black Hand, assassinated Franz Ferdinand. The group aimed to end Austro-Hungarian rule over Bosnia and promote Slavic nationalism.


The Aftermath

The assassination set off a chain reaction, leading to World War I. Over 16 million people were killed worldwide, and the conflict caused massive destruction and reshaped the geopolitical landscape. The Treaty of Versailles and the harsh penalties imposed on Germany and other Central Powers created economic and political instability, directly contributing to the rise of fascism and the outbreak of World War II.


Mahatma Gandhi: The Price of Peace

Mahatma Gandhi

Mahatma Gandhi, born in 1869, was a pivotal figure in the Indian independence movement. Known for his philosophy of non-violence and simplicity, Gandhi inspired millions with his principles of truth and civil disobedience. However, his personal life was complex; his strict adherence to celibacy and asceticism often caused friction with his family.


The Assassination

On January 30, 1948, in New Delhi, Gandhi was shot by Nathuram Godse, a Hindu nationalist who opposed Gandhi’s acceptance of partition and perceived appeasement of Muslims.


The Aftermath

Gandhi’s death led to national mourning and communal riots. Prime Minister Nehru’s government intensified efforts to stabilize the country and promote secularism. However, Gandhi’s assassination underscored the deep religious divides in India.


John F. Kennedy: The Shattered Dream


John F. Kennedy

John F. Kennedy, born in 1917, became a symbol of a new generation of American leadership. Charismatic and youthful, Kennedy inspired many with his vision for civil rights and his handling of international crises. However, his personal life was marred by numerous affairs and health issues, which contrasted sharply with his public image.


The Assassination

On November 22, 1963, in Dallas, Texas, Kennedy was assassinated by Lee Harvey Oswald, a former Marine. Oswald's motives remain unclear, but his actions left an indelible mark on American history.


The Aftermath

Kennedy’s death shocked the nation and the world. Vice President Lyndon B. Johnson was sworn in and used the national sentiment to push forward significant civil rights legislation. However, the assassination also bred numerous conspiracy theories, fostering a lasting sense of distrust in the government.


The Futility of Political Killings

Throughout history, political assassinations have seldom achieved their intended outcomes. Instead, they often lead to greater instability, conflict, and long-term consequences that far outweigh any perceived benefits. As we reflect on these historical precedents, it becomes clear that political violence is never the answer. Constructive dialogue and democratic processes are crucial for fostering lasting change and stability.


So, as we observe the unfolding events in America from our vantage point across the pond, let us hope for a future where political disputes are settled through ballots, not bullets, and where leaders are remembered not for their violent ends but for their contributions to humanity.

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